Evaluating the efficacy of financial distress prediction models in Malaysian public listed companies

Asmahani Binti Nayan

College of Computing, Informatics and Mathematics, Universiti Teknologi MARA (UiTM) Kedah Branch, Sungai Petani Campus, Merbok, Kedah, Malaysia

Mohd Rijal Ilias

College of Computing, Informatics and Mathematics, Universiti Teknologi MARA, Shah Alam, Selangor, Malaysia

Siti Shuhada Ishak

College of Computing, Informatics and Mathematics, Universiti Teknologi MARA, Shah Alam, Selangor, Malaysia

Amirah Hazwani Binti Abdul Rahim

College of Computing, Informatics and Mathematics, Universiti Teknologi MARA (UiTM) Kedah Branch, Sungai Petani Campus, Merbok, Kedah, Malaysia

Berlian Nur Morat

Academy of Language Studies, Universiti Teknologi MARA Kedah Branch, Merbok, Kedah, Malaysia

Keywords:

Accuracy, Financial distress, Financial ratio, Grover model, Logistic regression, PN17, Zmijerski model

Abstract

This research critically examines the precision of financial distress prediction models, with a particular focus on their applicability to Malaysian publicly listed companies under Practice Note 17 (PN17) from 2017 to 2021. Financial distress, defined as the imminent risk of bankruptcy evidenced by an inability to satisfy creditor demands, presents a significant challenge in corporate finance management. The study underscores the necessity of an efficient prediction model to strategize preemptive measures against financial crises. Unlike prior research, which predominantly compared
prediction models without assessing their accuracy, this study incorporates an accuracy analysis to discern the most effective model. Utilizing the Grover and Zmijerski models, it assesses whether companies listed under PN17 are experiencing financial distress. A noteworthy finding is the substantial correlation between the return on assets (ROA) and the prediction of financial distress in these companies. Furthermore, the Grover model demonstrates a remarkable 100% accuracy rate, indicating its exceptional efficiency in forecasting financial distress. This research not only contributes to the existing body of knowledge on financial distress prediction but also offers practical insights for companies and stakeholders in the Malaysian financial market.



Published

2024-02-02

How to Cite

Asmahani Binti Nayan , Mohd Rijal Ilias ,  Siti Shuhada Ishak , Amirah Hazwani Binti Abdul Rahim , Berlian
Nur Morat , Evaluating the efficacy of financial distress prediction models in Malaysian public listed companies, International Journal of Advanced and Applied Sciences, 11(2) 2024, Pages: 1-7

ISSUE

2024 Volume 11, Issue 1 (January) (2024) Volume 11, Issue 2 (February) (2024)